2016HO3轨道确定及雅科夫斯基效应力探测分析

    Orbit Determination of Asteroid 2016HO3 and Analysis of Detection of Yarkovsky Effect Force

    • 针对自主小行星探测任务中对历表的高精度需求, 对小行星2016HO3进行数据处理与深入分析. 构建了小行星2016HO3的高精度动力学模型, 该模型在40年积分周期后与Horizons星历的偏差保持在400 m以内. 利用MPC发布的观测数据进行了定轨计算, 并对两种不同加权策略下的定轨结果进行了对比分析. 同时, 在轨道解算过程中, 还尝试进行了雅科夫斯基效应力的探测. 结果表明, 两种加权策略下的残差表现出高度一致性, 但轨道偏差却接近100 km. 此外, 通过轨道解算成功探测到了雅科夫斯基效应, 并验证了该检测方法的有效性. 轨道演化分析进一步揭示, 当地面设备在每年固定月份观测小行星时, 该月份的轨道偏差最为稳定, 而其他月份的轨道则呈现出显著的发散趋势. 本研究为自主小行星探测任务后续的测量数据处理提供了有益的参考和理论方法支持, 有助于提升探测任务的精度和可靠性.

       

      Abstract: To address the requirement for high-precision ephemerides in autonomous asteroid exploration missions, data processing and analysis were conducted on asteroid 2016HO3. Initially, a high-precision dynamical model for the asteroid was established. After a 40-year integration, the resulting ephemerides exhibited a deviation of less than 400 m compared to those from the JPL Horizons system. Subsequently, orbit determination calculations were performed using observational data released by the Minor Planet Center (MPC). The impact of two weighting strategies on the orbit determination results was analyzed, revealing that, despite highly consistent residuals, the orbital deviation approached 100 km. Furthermore, an attempt was made to detect the Yarkovsky effect through orbital solutions, which verified the effectiveness of the detection method. The orbital evolution analysis demonstrated that, due to the fixed-month observations of the asteroid by ground-based facilities, the orbital deviation was most stable during that specific month, whereas the orbital evolution diverged significantly in other months. This study provides references and theoretical support for subsequent data processing in autonomous asteroid exploration missions.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回